This is a very different feeling from other tasks I’ve “mastered”. If you ask me to write a CLI tool or to debug a certain kind of bug, I know I’ll succeed and have a pretty good intuition on how long the task is going to take me. But by working with AI on a new domain… I just don’t, and I don’t see how I could build that intuition. This is uncomfortable and dangerous. You can try asking the agent to give you an estimate, and it will, but funnily enough the estimate will be in “human time” so it won’t have any meaning. And when you try working on the problem, the agent’s stochastic behavior could lead you to a super-quick win or to a dead end that never converges on a solution.
[9] ChatGPT ads come with premium prices — and limited data, Search Engine Land，更多细节参见新收录的资料
"There was a big step – jump – that people have questioned," Jackson says. "But now the world is awash with oil and it's not clear that the same calculations still apply."，推荐阅读新收录的资料获取更多信息
3月8日消息，中东战事持续升级，霍尔木兹海峡商业运输近乎停摆，国际油价本周大幅上涨，创下数十年来最大单周涨幅。华尔街投行高盛在最新研报中表示：如果未来几天内看不到霍尔木兹海峡流量恢复正常化的迹象，将立即修订油价预测。高盛在报告中称，油价上行风险正在“迅速扩大”，如果本周内没有解决方案的迹象，油价下周很可能突破100美元；如果霍尔木兹海峡流量在整个3月持续低迷，油价将超越2008年和2022年的历史峰值。国际油价曾在2008年创下每桶147美元的历史最高点。